Service Plays Monday 02/09/09

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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim..

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Bullitt
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Raging Bull Soccer

Millwall/Leeds Utd over 2.5 (English League 1)

Kaiserslautern/Nurnberg over 2.5 (German 2 Bundesliga)
 

Bullitt
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ATS Sports Club
February 9, 2009

Soccer:

English League 1
Millwall vs. Leeds United over 2.5
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Wake Forest (-10-1/2) yesterday.

Today it's Murray State. The profit is 140 sirignanos.
 
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Dave Cokin

(507) HOUSTON ROCKETS
(508) MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Take "(508) MILWAUKEE BUCKS"

The Bucks are besieged by injury issues right now, but they're still playing hard. Houston cannot seem to put good games together, and the Rockets are a brutal 5-17 ATS off a spread win. I'll tab the Bucks tonight as home dogs.
 
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Jim Feist

(505) NEW ORLEANS HORNETS
(506) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
Take "Under"

New Orleans has been up and down offensively without sparkplug guard Chris Paul. They scored 89 against Portland, the game he went down, collapsing in the fourth quarter, then had 93 against defenseless Chicago. Memphis has all kinds of problems offensively, ranked 27th in the NBA with 93.5 ppg. They just beat Toronto 78-70! These teams have met twice and both meetings sailed under the total, with Memphis scoring just 87 and 84 points. Play the Hornets/Grizzlies under the total.
 

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Paul Leiner Free Pick for Today
Monday February 9, 2009

Sport: CBB
Game: Marist vs Rider

Prediction: 10* Rider -1.5
 

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Doug Bartlett Free Pick for Today
February 9th 2009

Sport: College Basketball
Game: Kansas at Missouri
Prediction: Missouri -4 (5 Star)
 

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Wayne Root - "Comp Play"

Here's the FREE winner for today, courtesy of Wayne Root:

Date: February 09, 2009

Sport:

Pick: Northwestern
 

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February 9 2009
frank patron 30000 unit lock #45

frank patron

30000 unit lock #45

missouri tigers -4
 

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[Chris Jordan - "Comp Play"/B]

1♦ UNDER Kansas/Missouri - Love the low number with this Big 12 clash on national television, as we're going to see a physical contest that will stay relatively low compared to what the oddsmakers believe.



It's easy to believe you can choose one side or the other and come up with the total in this one ... if you like the Jayhawks play the under, and if you the like the Tigers you're sure to like the over. After all, Kansas has stayed low in four straight and six of seven, while Missouri has soared past the number in five of its last six.



But since I am not playing either side, I have to look at the fact which team is going to try to dictate the pace, and that's easily going to be Kansas. It has to, and it must use defense if it wants to win. Missouri has scored at least 88 points in six of its last 10 outings, so the 'Hawks have to slow the tempo and utilize their shot clock to keep the ball out of Missouri's hands as much as possible.



The Over has generally been the play in this series, but with the under on runs of 4-0 in Kansas' last four in conference play, four of its last five on the road and four of its last five as a road pup, I'm going to play this one under.
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

West Virginia (16-7, 9-11 ATS) at (6) Pittsburgh (21-2, 10-6-1 ATS)

The Backyard Brawl takes to the hardwood as West Virginia travels to Pittsburgh looking to put an end to the Panthers’ three-game winning streak.

The Mountaineers snapped a two-game losing streak Saturday with an 86-59 home win over Providence, easily cashing as an 11½-point chalk. West Virginia has lost two straight on the road in Big East action (1-1 ATS) and three of its last four away from home (2-2 ATS).

Pitt has won three straight (2-0 ATS) and is coming off Saturday’s 92-69 win at DePaul, cashing as a 16½-point road favorite. The Panthers are a perfect 14-0 in front of the home fans (6-2 ATS) where they average 83.4 points per game and 50 percent shooting, while giving up 62.2 ppg on 41 percent shooting.

West Virginia is 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS in Big East play, though the four spread-covers came in the last six games. Pitt is 8-2 in league action (6-4 ATS), including 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home.

When these two squared off in Morgantown, W.V., back on Jan. 25, the Panthers rolled to a 79-67 win as a one-point ‘dog. Pitt has won five of the last six meetings (4-2 ATS) and squeaked out a 55-54 home win a year ago as a three-point favorite. The Panthers are 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 matchups, and the favorite is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15.

West Virginia is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 contests after a non-cover, but otherwise it is on positive ATS runs of 6-2 on Mondays, 4-1 as an underdog and 14-4-1 as a road ‘dog of seven to 12½ points. Pittsburgh is on ATS streaks of 5-2 at home, 9-4-1 on Mondays, 4-1 against Big East foes and 4-0 as a favorite of seven to 12½ points.

The Mountaineers have topped the total in seven of their last nine as a ‘dog of seven to 12½ points and the Panthers are on “over” runs of 4-1 at home, 15-5 against Big East competition, 45-22 as a home favorite and 4-1 after a spread-cover. Also, the over has been the play in three of the last four battles in this rivalry following a 4-0 “under” streak.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


(21) Kansas (19-4, 12-5 ATS) at Missouri (20-4, 10-7 ATS)

The Jayhawks carry an eight-game winning streak into Mizzou Arena to take on Missouri in a Big 12 showdown.

Kansas’ eight-game winning streak (7-1 ATS) has left them a half-game behind Oklahoma in the Big 12 standings – the only two teams still unbeaten in league play – and the Jayhawks are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS on the highway in conference action. On Saturday, Kansas went to Oklahoma State and won 78-67, narrowly covering as 10½-point favorites.

Missouri has won seven of its last eight (6-2 ATS) and crushed Iowa State 82-68 Saturday, cashing as a nine-point road chalk to improve to 7-2 in the Big 12 (6-3 ATS). The Tigers are 14-0 at home this season (5-2 ATS in lined games), including 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS) in Big 12 play, and for the season they average 89.2 ppg on 50 percent shooting at Mizzou Arena while giving up just 62.4 ppg on 37.8 percent shooting.

The Jayhawks have won five straight in this rivalry (3-2 ATS), sweeping the season series in each of the last two years. In last season’s trip to Missouri, they scored a 76-70 win but came up short as seven-point favorites. The underdog is 9-4-2 ATS in the last 15 meetings between these rivals, and the Tigers have gotten the cash in six of the last nine at home.

Kansas is riding several positive ATS trends, including 21-8 overall, 4-0 on the road, 8-1 against Big 12 competition, 20-7 against teams with a winning record, 10-3 as a road ‘dog and 6-0 on Monday. The Tigers are on ATS spirals of 18-37-1 in Big 12 action and 8-20-1 ATS as a favorite of less than seven points, but they are on positive pointspread trends of 6-2 overall and 4-1 after a spread-cover.

For the Jayhawks, the under is on runs of 4-1 on the road, 4-1 on Mondays, 4-1 as ‘dogs, 5-1 after a spread-cover and 4-0 in Big 12 play. Missouri is riding “over” streaks of 5-1 overall, 8-3 at home, 5-1 in Big 12 action, 12-5 after a spread-cover and 7-0 on Monday. In this rivalry, the over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings overall and 6-1 in the last seven clashes at Missouri.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


NBA

Phoenix (28-21, 17-29-2 ATS) at Philadelphia (25-24, 24-23-2 ATS)

The Suns travel to the Wachovia Center in search of their fourth straight road win over an Eastern Conference squad when they take on the 76ers.

Phoenix pounded Detroit 107-97 as a one-point underdog Sunday for its second straight win and its third in its last four games (2-1-1 ATS). Dating back to late January, the Suns have won three of their last four SU and ATS on the road, and they have really picked up the scoring lately, averaging 114.8 points per game over their last five while shooting nearly 50 percent from the field.

Like the Suns, Philadelphia is on a two-game winning streak after beating the Heat 94-84 on Saturday, cashing as a 3½-point home chalk. The Sixers are on Game No. 6 of a seven-game homestand (3-2 SU, 2-1-2 ATS), bringing their home record to a mediocre 15-11 (12-12-2 ATS).

The Suns are 6-2 SU and ATS in the last eight meetings with the Sixers, and the road team won both clashes a season ago. The Sixers scored a 119-114 win in Phoenix as 9½-point underdogs, but the Suns returned the favor with a 107-93 win in Philly as 3½-point favorites. The chalk is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 battles between these two, and the Suns are 9-3 ATS in the last 12.

Despite last night’s win and cover in Detroit, Phoenix is on ATS slides of 9-21-2 overall, 3-6-1 on the road, 3-8-1 against the Eastern Conference, 0-4-1 against the Atlantic Division and 2-5 on Mondays. Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS in its last four on Mondays, but the Sixers are on positive pointspread runs of 11-4-2 overall, 5-2 against Western Conference teams and 8-2 against teams with a winning record.

The Suns are on “under” streaks of 7-4 against Eastern Conference teams, 4-1 on Mondays and 4-0 on the second night of a back-to-back. The Sixers have stayed below the total in five of seven overall, 21 of 31 at home and 22 of 29 on Mondays. Also, the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in this series.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 
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Cajun Sports

West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Pittsburgh Panthers -7.5
PLAY: 2* Pittsburgh Panthers -7.5

ESPNs Rivalry Week tips off at Petersen Events Center where the Pittsburgh Panthers will host Big East rival the West Virginia Mountaineers. West Virginia enters tonights contest off a home win over Providence 86 to 59 as an 11.5 point favorite. That win came on the heels of back-to-back losses for the Mountaineers at Louisville 69 to 63 and at Syracuse 74 to 61. Pitt enters on a three-game winning streak which began after suffering a road loss at Villanova back on January 28th.

The last meeting between these two came on January 25th of this year and was played in Morgantown with Pitt easily winning 79 to 67. The key in that matchup was Pitts inside-out offensive scheme which worked almost to perfection with the Panthers shooting 54.5 percent from the field and 33.3 percent from behind the arc. The Pitt defense was able to hold the Mountaineers to only 41.1 percent from the field and a miserable 26.3 percent from behind the arc.

The Panthers are 14-0 straight up and 5-3 against the spread at home averaging 83.6 points on 50.2 percent shooting and allowing 62.0 points per game on 40.3 percent from the field. West Virginia is 7-5 SU and 5-7 ATS when playing on the road this season and over their last five games they are averaging 70.4 points per game on 41.4 percent from the field and allowing 66.6 points per game on 46.0 percent shooting for their opponents. The Panthers have an obvious advantage on both ends of the floor and should be able to dictate both the pace and style of play tonight which should translate into another Panthers win and cover versus the Mountaineers.

The Panthers after playing their last game on the road and are now installed as a favorite have posted a record of 45-24-1 ATS, if they are a home favorite their record is 34-19-1 ATS. Pitt is 30-16 ATS after having won against the spread in two of their last three games. The Mountaineers on the other hand are 0-6 ATS after having covered the spread in three of their last four games. West Virginia has struggled against teams that average 77 or more points per game posting a record of 2-8 ATS their last 10 games.

With the Panthers having lost only 2 games the entire 2008-09 campaign and not a single loss at home we expect them to get the win and cover over the Mountaineers on Monday night in Pittsburgh. Lay the chalk as the Panthers put another double-digit number on the boys from the hills of West Virginia.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (2*) Pittsburgh Panthers 81 West Virginia 67
 

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